Invesco India Contra Fund: Identifying Hidden Investment Opportunities
Listen to Invesco India Contra Fund: Identifying Hidden Investment Opportunities
00:00
00:00
The current market environment is momentum driven, meaning the market movement may not reveal the actual growth scenario. The instability caused by virus outbreak has caused some investors to write-off few specific sectors and shun stocks in that particular sector. However, some of the quality stocks in such sectors, even though inappropriately priced in the short run, may have high long term growth potential.
Contra funds seek to find opportunities in such stocks that are currently out of favour but with potential to gain in the future. Such funds could be one of the major beneficiaries of the economic recovery.
The ongoing market crash has provided attractive opportunities for contrarian investors looking to boost profitability from equity mutual fund investment.
Invesco India Contra Fund (IICF) is one of the prominent players in the contra fund category which looks to identify such hidden opportunities and bet against the herd.
Graph 1: Growth of Rs 10,000 if invested in Invesco India Contra Fund 5 years ago
IICF has performed reasonably well across market cycles. Its fund managers, Mr Taher Badshah and Mr Amit Ganatra, keep a strong focus on fundamentals and those stocks that are likely to show sharp earnings recovery. An investment of Rs 10,000 made in IICF, 5 years back, would have appreciated by about 7.1% CAGR to Rs 14,085. On the other hand, a similar investment in the benchmark S&P BSE 500 - TRI would have been valued at Rs 11,695 (3.2% CAGR). Notably, the fund came to the limelight due to its superior performance during the bull phase of 2016-17. In the current corrective phase, the fund has been ahead of the category average as well as its benchmark.
Data as on May 05, 2020
(Source: ACE MF, PersonalFN Research)
Table: Invesco India Contra Fund's performance vis-a-vis category peers
Scheme Name |
1 Year |
3 Year |
5 Year |
Beta |
Std Dev |
Sharpe |
Sortino |
Kotak India EQ Contra Fund |
-18.15 |
2.25 |
5.05 |
1.00 |
16.82 |
-0.01 |
-0.02 |
Invesco India Contra Fund |
-14.69 |
2.18 |
7.09 |
1.02 |
18.11 |
0.00 |
-0.01 |
SBI Contra Fund |
-26.91 |
-7.24 |
-0.91 |
0.98 |
21.47 |
-0.42 |
-0.44 |
Category Average |
-19.92 |
-0.94 |
3.74 |
1.00 |
21.28 |
-0.16 |
-0.17 |
S&P BSE 500 - TRI |
-19.75 |
-1.42 |
3.18 |
1.00 |
19.69 |
-0.09 |
-0.11 |
Returns are point to point and in %, calculated using Direct Plan - Growth option. Those depicted over 1-Yr are compounded annualised.
Data as on May 05, 2020
(Source: ACE MF, PersonalFN Research)
*Please note, this table only represents the best performing funds based solely on past returns and is NOT a recommendation. Mutual Fund investments are subject to market risks. Read all scheme related documents carefully. Past performance is not an indicator for future returns. The percentage returns shown are only for indicative purposes.
IICF has distinctly outperformed its benchmark S&P BSE 500 - TRI across time periods as well as the category average. IICF's returns over the longer time frames of 3-year and 5-year have been remarkable, where it has generated an alpha of around 3.5-4 percentage points.
Kotak India EQ Contra Fund is the other top contender in the contra funds category.
Although IICF has shown higher volatility in performance, it has generated superior risk adjusted returns for its long-term investors. The fund's Sharpe ratio of -0.02 and Sortino of -0.03 is far ahead of its benchmark.
Investment strategy of Invesco India Contra Fund
Being a contra fund, IICF is mandated to invest at least 65% of its assets in equity and equity related instruments following a contrarian investment strategy. Over the past one year IICF had an average allocation of 65% into largecaps. It also holds significant exposure to mid and small cap stocks which together account for around 30% of its holdings.
IICF looks to find hidden opportunities backed by research and expertise. It aims to select mispriced and out of favour stocks of fundamentally sound companies that have potential to grow in the long-term, and stay invested until its full potential is realized.
The fund follows the bottom-up approach to select companies trading below fundamental value, companies in turnaround phase and growth companies available at attractive valuations. It takes active overweight/underweight sector positions w.r.t. the benchmark, based on the top-down view and valuation opportunities.
Graph 2: Top portfolio holdings in Invesco India Contra Fund
Holding in (%) as on March 31, 2020
(Source: Portfolio disclosure - Invesco Mutual Fund)
IICF usually holds a well-diversified portfolio of 45-55 stocks at any point of time. As on March 31, 2020, IICF held a fairly diversified portfolio of 57 stocks, with the top 10 stock holdings accounting for close to 50% of its assets. Highly liquid names like Reliance Industries, HDFC Bank, ICICI Bank, and Infosys currently appear among its top holdings in the fund's portfolio. Most of them have been among the core contenders in IICF's portfolio for a long time.
In terms of sector concentration, the top five sectors in IICF's portfolio accounted for around 50.6% of its assets. The fund held higher weightage to Banking (21.1%) followed by Infotech (12.8%), Petroleum Products (8.9%), Pharma (7.7%) and Auto (6.4%). Finance, Power, Consumption, Telecom and Auto ancillaries are among the other prominent sectors in the fund's portfolio.
Suitability
IICF has rewarded investors with consistent outperformance over the benchmark across time periods and market cycles. Its ability to generate superior risk-adjusted returns helps the fund outscore most other diversified equity funds.The fund has the ability to manage downside risk during extreme market conditions, while it can gear up and participate in market rallies. However, as the fund invests in out-of-favour stocks/sectors, it may temporarily underperform in the short term. This makes the fund suitable for investors with high risk appetite and a long term investment horizon.
Warm Regards,
Divya Grover
Research Analyst
Editor's note: The last few years have not been among the best for equity mutual funds. While most funds have underperformed or are struggling to match the returns of the benchmark, there are few funds that have the potential to constantly generate alpha for its investors. And we have identified five such high alpha generating funds, in our latest report 'The Alpha Funds Report 2020'. Do not miss our latest research finding. Get your access to this exclusive report, right here!
Note: This write up is for information purpose and does not constitute any kind of investment advice or a recommendation to Buy / Hold / Sell a fund. Returns mentioned herein are in no way a guarantee or promise of future returns. As an investor, you need to pick the right fund to meet your financial goals. If you are not sure about your risk appetite, do consult your investment consultant/advisor. Mutual Fund Investments are subject to market risks, read all scheme related documents carefully.
Join Now: PersonalFN is now on Telegram. Join FREE Today to get ‘Daily Wealth Letter’ and Exclusive Updates on Mutual Funds
DISCLOSURE AS PER SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE BOARD OF INDIA (RESEARCH ANALYSTS) REGULATIONS, 2014
About the Company including business activity
Quantum Information Services Private Limited (QIS) was incorporated on December 19, 1989.
QIS was promoted by Mr Ajit Dayal with an objective of providing value-based information/views on news related to equity markets, the economy in general, sector analysis, budget review and various personal products and investments options available to the Public. It was the first company to start equity research on an institutional level.
'PersonalFN' is a service brand of QIS and was started in the year 1999. In 1999, the Company registered the Domain name www.personalfn.com for providing information on mutual funds and personal financial planning, financial markets in general, etc. and services related to financial planning and research in various financial instruments including mutual funds, insurance and fixed income products to customers. It offers asset allocation and researched investment recommendations through its financial planning services.
Quantum Information Services Private Limited (QIS) is registered as Investment Adviser under SEBI (Investment Adviser) Regulations, 2013 and having Registration No.: INA000000680. In terms of the second proviso to Regulation 3 (1) of SEBI (Research Analysts) Regulations, 2014 the Company is not required to obtain Certificate of registration from SEBI.
Disciplinary history
There are no outstanding litigations against the Company, its subsidiaries and its Directors.
Terms and condition on which its offer research report
For the terms and condition for research report click here.
Details of associates
-
Money Simplified Services Private Limited;
-
PersonalFN Insurance Services India Private Limited;
-
Equitymaster Agora Research Private Limited;
-
Common Sense Living Private Limited;
-
Quantum Advisors Private Limited;
-
Quantum Asset Management Company Private Limited;
-
HelpYourNGO.com India Private Limited;
-
HelpYourNGO Foundation;
-
Natural Streets for Performing Arts Foundation;
-
Primary Real Estate Advisors Private Limited;
-
HYNGO India Private Limited;
-
Rahul Goel;
-
I V Subramaniam.
Disclosure with regard to ownership and material conflicts of interest
-
‘subject company’ is a scheme on which a buy/sell/hold view or target price is given/changed in this Research Report;
-
Neither QIS, it's Associates, Research Analyst or his/her relative have any financial interest in the subject Company; except for one of the research analysts holding units of Invesco India Contra Fund;
-
Neither QIS, it's Associates, Research Analyst or his/her relative have actual/beneficial ownership of one per cent or more securities of the subject Company, at the end of the month immediately preceding the date of publication of the research report;
-
Neither QIS, it's Associates, Research Analyst or his/her relative has any other material conflict of interest at the time of publication of the research report except that QIS (PersonalFN) is, as per SEBI (Mutual Funds) Regulations 1996, an associate / group Company of Quantum Asset Management Company Private Limited and Trustees and Sponsor of Quantum Mutual Fund (QMF) and to that extent there may be conflict of interest while recommending any schemes of QMF. However, any such recommendation or reference made is based on the standard evaluation and selection process, which applies uniformly for all Mutual Fund Schemes. The payment of commission (upfront / annualized & trail), if any, for any Schemes by QMF to QIS (PersonalFN) is also at arm's length and as per prevailing market practices.
Disclosure with regard to receipt of Compensation
-
Neither QIS nor it's Associates have received any compensation from the subject Company in the past twelve months;
-
Neither QIS nor it's Associates have managed or co-managed public offering of securities for the subject Company;
-
Neither QIS nor it's Associates have received any compensation for investment banking or merchant banking or brokerage services from the subject Company;
-
Neither QIS nor it's Associates have received any compensation for products or services other than investment banking or merchant banking or brokerage services from the subject company in the past twelve months.
-
Neither QIS nor it's Associates have received any compensation or other benefits from the subject Company or third party in connection with the research report
General disclosure
-
The Research Analyst has not served as an officer, director or employee of the subject Company.
-
QIS or the Research Analyst has not been engaged in market making activity for the subject Company.
Click here to read PersonalFN's Mutual Fund Rating Methodology
Subject Company means Mutual Fund Schemes
Quantum Information Services Private Limited CIN: U65990MH1989PTC054667 Regd. Office: 103, Regent Chambers, 1st Floor, Nariman Point, Mumbai - 400 021 Corp. Office: 103, Regent Chambers, 1st Floor, Nariman Point, Mumbai - 400 021.
Email:info@personalfn.com Website: www.personalfn.com Tel.: 022 61361200 Fax.: 022 61361222 SEBI-registered Investment Adviser. Registration No. INA000000680, SEBI (Investment Advisers) Regulation, 2013